Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 48.4%). Wagner wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+0.5%)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 50.5%
Defensive zone
Wagner 51.7%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 53.8%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Wagner
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
49.6% (2,027)
+1.2%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
41.5% (41)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
43.9% (467)
-1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Wagner is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Wagner shoots right. Carpenter is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (695).
Home / Away
Wagner
Carpenter
Home
49.8% (817)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
47.9% (753)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Wagner
Carpenter
P1
48.6%
49.6%
P2
48.6%
47.7%
P3
49.5%
48.0%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%