Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 53.1% vs Carpenter 48.2% (+10.3%)
Offensive zone
Wagner 56.5%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 60.7%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 61.4%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Wagner
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (44)
48.8% (404)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
43.6% (101)
+6.4%
On even strength, Wagner has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Wagner is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Wagner shoots right. Carpenter is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Wagner
Carpenter
Home
63.9% (36)
48.9% (274)
Away
50.0% (26)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Wagner
Carpenter
P1
66.7%
51.9%
P2
37.5%
49.4%
P3
64.0%
41.8%
Final 5 min
63.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
58.1%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%