Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Wagner wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 47.1% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 67.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 74.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 78.0%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 74.8%
25.2%
74.8%
Wagner
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Wagner
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (77)
55.3% (515)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (31)
44.8% (58)
+6.8%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Wagner is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Wagner shoots right. Kuraly is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Wagner
Kuraly
Home
46.3% (54)
57.3% (293)
Away
42.6% (54)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Wagner
Kuraly
P1
48.6%
53.8%
P2
55.9%
51.5%
P3
30.8%
57.6%
Final 5 min
40.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
44.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |