Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Wagner wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 47.1% vs Monahan 52.4% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 87.6%
Defensive zone
Monahan 59.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 86.7%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Wagner
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Wagner
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
2
0
Wagner
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (77)
52.4% (853)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (31)
46.5% (144)
+5.1%
On even strength, Monahan has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Wagner is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Wagner shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Wagner
Monahan
Home
46.3% (54)
53.4% (624)
Away
42.6% (54)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Wagner
Monahan
P1
48.6%
53.7%
P2
55.9%
52.4%
P3
30.8%
51.6%
Final 5 min
40.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
44.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 09:28 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |