Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Wagner wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 53.1% vs Blueger 52.8% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wagner 61.9%
Defensive zone
Blueger 63.7%
Neutral zone
Blueger 53.5%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Wagner
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Wagner
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Wagner
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (44)
54.2% (590)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
48.0% (177)
+2.0%
On even strength, Wagner has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Wagner is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (48).
Wagner shoots right. Blueger is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Home / Away
Wagner
Blueger
Home
63.9% (36)
53.2% (378)
Away
50.0% (26)
53.1% (403)
By Period
Wagner
Blueger
P1
66.7%
54.3%
P2
37.5%
56.7%
P3
64.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
63.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
58.1%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 05:38 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |