Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 48.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Marchant 48.3% (+0.9%)
Offensive zone
Wagner 50.3%
Defensive zone
Marchant 50.6%
Neutral zone
Wagner 50.0%
Result
Todd Marchant favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Wagner
Marchant
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Marchant
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
50.5% (368)
+0.3%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
28.6% (7)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
42.4% (158)
-0.4%
On power play, Wagner has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchant shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Wagner shoots right. Marchant is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Wagner
Marchant
Home
49.8% (817)
50.3% (302)
Away
47.9% (753)
45.1% (246)
By Period
Wagner
Marchant
P1
48.6%
46.3%
P2
48.6%
49.7%
P3
49.5%
48.1%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Marchant
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%