Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 52.9% vs Bozak 55.8% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wagner 59.7%
Defensive zone
Wagner 77.7%
Neutral zone
Wagner 69.5%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Wagner
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Wagner
Bozak
Last 5: Wagner 0-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Wagner
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Wagner
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (258)
56.4% (837)
-1.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
60.8% (186)
-60.8%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
33.3% (36)
+2.4%
On power play, Bozak has a +60.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Wagner is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Wagner shoots right. Bozak is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Wagner
Bozak
Home
56.7% (120)
58.7% (516)
Away
51.9% (154)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Wagner
Bozak
P1
53.6%
55.7%
P2
53.7%
53.4%
P3
54.9%
59.7%
Final 5 min
62.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
54.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 08:37 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |