Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Wagner wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Bozak 53.4% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Wagner 51.6%
Defensive zone
Wagner 84.2%
Neutral zone
Wagner 70.9%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Wagner
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Wagner
Bozak
Last 10: Wagner 3-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
4
Wagner
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Wagner
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wagner
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
53.7% (9,596)
-2.9%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
55.2% (1,990)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
48.0% (1,094)
-6.0%
On power play, Bozak has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Wagner is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Wagner shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Wagner
Bozak
Home
49.8% (817)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
47.9% (753)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Wagner
Bozak
P1
48.6%
53.2%
P2
48.6%
52.8%
P3
49.5%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
49.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2018 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 1, 2017 | 3 | 01:30 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 1, 2017 | 2 | 13:05 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 02:58 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 10:24 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 08:37 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |