Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Wagner wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 53.1% vs Karlsson 55.6% (+1.9%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 72.9%
Defensive zone
Wagner 59.5%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 55.0%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Wagner
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (44)
56.3% (739)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
47.2% (53)
+2.8%
On even strength, Wagner has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Wagner is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (48).
Wagner shoots right. Karlsson is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Wagner
Karlsson
Home
63.9% (36)
56.5% (462)
Away
50.0% (26)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Wagner
Karlsson
P1
66.7%
57.1%
P2
37.5%
55.2%
P3
64.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
63.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
58.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%