Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 48.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Ostapchuk 48.7% (+0.4%)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 62.2%
Defensive zone
Wagner 63.2%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 50.1%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Wagner
Ostapchuk
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
49.1% (632)
+1.7%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
28.6% (7)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
45.5% (66)
-3.5%
On power play, Wagner has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Wagner shoots right. Ostapchuk is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Wagner
Ostapchuk
Home
49.8% (817)
48.6% (329)
Away
47.9% (753)
48.4% (376)
By Period
Wagner
Ostapchuk
P1
48.6%
48.5%
P2
48.6%
46.4%
P3
49.5%
50.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%