Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.7% vs Dvorak 52.9% (-17.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 72.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 57.1%
Neutral zone
Kempe 61.2%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Kempe
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kempe
Dvorak
Last 6: Kempe 2-4 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
2
Kempe
Dvorak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kempe
Dvorak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
53.7% (762)
-15.5%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
54.0% (124)
-23.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
47.6% (82)
-22.6%
On power play, Dvorak has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Kempe is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Kempe shoots left. Dvorak is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Kempe
Dvorak
Home
36.4% (66)
53.6% (461)
Away
35.5% (76)
52.9% (507)
By Period
Kempe
Dvorak
P1
37.3%
54.1%
P2
36.7%
52.9%
P3
31.4%
53.8%
OT
42.9%
36.4%
Final 5 min
40.0%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.9%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 17:55 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 17:35 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 12:10 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |