Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Kempe wins 39.8% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 46.2% vs Dvorak 47.1% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 58.9%
Defensive zone
Kempe 51.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 51.7%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Kempe
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Kempe
Dvorak
Last 10: Kempe 4-6 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Dvorak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
4
Kempe
Dvorak
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
1
Kempe
Dvorak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (131)
46.9% (851)
-2.6%
Power Play
30.8% (13)
48.7% (113)
-17.9%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
40.5% (42)
+15.1%
On power play, Dvorak has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Kempe is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Kempe shoots left. Dvorak is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Home / Away
Kempe
Dvorak
Home
49.6% (113)
47.5% (526)
Away
27.5% (40)
46.0% (480)
By Period
Kempe
Dvorak
P1
43.9%
48.0%
P2
44.0%
46.3%
P3
43.5%
46.2%
Final 5 min
37.1%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
43.8%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 07:36 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |