Adrian Kempe vs Christian Dvorak
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 23 meetings). Kempe wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.0% vs Dvorak 53.1% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 34-24 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Kempe 88.9%
Defensive zone
Kempe 76.2%
Neutral zone
Kempe 90.1%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Kempe
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
34
(58 meetings)
24
34
Kempe
Dvorak
Last 10: Kempe 4-6 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
12
8
Kempe
Dvorak
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
6
17
Kempe
Dvorak
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
6
9
Kempe
Dvorak
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,881)
53.0% (6,743)
-12.8%
Power Play
43.1% (211)
55.7% (1,005)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
51.0% (887)
-8.4%
On even strength, Dvorak has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Kempe is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,356).
Kempe shoots left. Dvorak is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,559).
Home / Away
Kempe
Dvorak
Home
42.4% (1,045)
54.7% (4,115)
Away
38.8% (1,101)
51.7% (4,520)
By Period
Kempe
Dvorak
P1
39.5%
54.5%
P2
40.1%
51.8%
P3
42.2%
53.0%
OT
37.0%
56.9%
Final 5 min
37.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
40.5%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 17:55 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 17:35 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 12:10 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:40 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 18, 2019 | 3 | 14:41 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 19:59 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 05:07 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |