Christian Dvorak vs Connor Bedard
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Bedard 41.3% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 78.7%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 81.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 83.3%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Dvorak
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Dvorak
Bedard
Last 6: Dvorak 3-3 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
1
Dvorak
Bedard
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dvorak
Bedard
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Bedard
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (6,743)
40.1% (1,580)
+12.9%
Power Play
55.7% (1,005)
51.9% (77)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (887)
50.0% (24)
+1.0%
On even strength, Dvorak has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Dvorak is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,076).
Dvorak shoots left. Bedard is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,213).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Bedard
Home
54.7% (4,115)
43.3% (785)
Away
51.7% (4,520)
38.5% (896)
By Period
Dvorak
Bedard
P1
54.5%
39.0%
P2
51.8%
40.7%
P3
53.0%
42.6%
OT
56.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.5%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.1%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 11:38 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |