Christian Dvorak vs Connor Bedard
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Bedard 40.9% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 82.7%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 84.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 86.2%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Dvorak
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Dvorak
Bedard
Last 6: Dvorak 3-3 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
1
Dvorak
Bedard
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dvorak
Bedard
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Bedard
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (6,536)
39.7% (1,413)
+13.3%
Power Play
55.6% (967)
51.5% (68)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (866)
45.5% (22)
+6.0%
On even strength, Dvorak has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Dvorak is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,979).
Dvorak shoots left. Bedard is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,103).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Bedard
Home
54.6% (3,995)
42.9% (707)
Away
51.8% (4,374)
38.1% (796)
By Period
Dvorak
Bedard
P1
54.4%
38.3%
P2
51.8%
39.8%
P3
53.1%
43.1%
OT
58.6%
38.9%
Final 5 min
51.8%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
53.1%
Bedard
32.0%▼
47.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 11:38 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |