Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Helm on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Helm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Helm 45.9% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 62.4%
Defensive zone
Helm 65.0%
Neutral zone
Helm 54.2%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Dvorak
Helm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dvorak
Helm
Last 5: Dvorak 2-3 Helm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Helm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helm
1
2
Dvorak
Helm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
0
1
Dvorak
Helm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Helm
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
46.7% (135)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
40.8% (98)
+16.6%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helm shoots left. Dvorak is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (553).
Dvorak shoots left. Helm is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Helm
Home
59.0% (432)
45.7% (105)
Away
54.8% (535)
43.0% (128)
By Period
Dvorak
Helm
P1
58.7%
42.1%
P2
53.9%
41.0%
P3
57.2%
50.6%
OT
70.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 03:11 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 04:14 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |