Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dvorak wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 47.1% vs Staal 49.2% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 60.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 60.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 60.3%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Dvorak
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Dvorak
Staal
Last 6: Dvorak 1-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Dvorak
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Dvorak
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (851)
48.9% (958)
-2.0%
Power Play
48.7% (113)
51.7% (145)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (42)
47.9% (71)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Dvorak is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Dvorak shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (714).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Staal
Home
47.5% (526)
49.6% (550)
Away
46.0% (480)
48.7% (624)
By Period
Dvorak
Staal
P1
48.0%
48.9%
P2
46.3%
47.5%
P3
46.2%
51.6%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
44.9%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
46.8%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2017 | 3 | 15:15 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 3 | 12:54 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Eric Staal |