Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Staal 46.6% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 53.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 50.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.6%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Dvorak
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Dvorak
Staal
Last 6: Dvorak 3-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
49.6% (565)
+2.6%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
35.0% (20)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
35.4% (158)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Dvorak shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Staal
Home
54.1% (423)
46.1% (380)
Away
50.2% (494)
46.3% (363)
By Period
Dvorak
Staal
P1
51.4%
45.7%
P2
52.0%
46.2%
P3
52.4%
46.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 05:44 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 13:51 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 13:02 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:53 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |