Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 54.6% vs Staal 49.6% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 82.5%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 67.9%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 78.4%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 81.6%
81.6%
18.4%
Dvorak
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Dvorak
Staal
Last 9: Dvorak 7-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
6
1
Dvorak
Staal
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (722)
49.6% (779)
+4.4%
Power Play
58.8% (187)
49.7% (179)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
48.8% (41)
+8.7%
On power play, Dvorak has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Dvorak is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Dvorak shoots left. Staal is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Staal
Home
58.6% (444)
52.0% (542)
Away
52.1% (505)
46.6% (457)
By Period
Dvorak
Staal
P1
54.5%
44.2%
P2
53.6%
50.3%
P3
57.1%
52.9%
OT
56.3%
68.8%
Final 5 min
59.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.1%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 13:44 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 03:25 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 08:50 | Neutral | Eric Staal |