Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Nazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Nazar 45.7% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 67.3%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 90.8%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 80.9%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Dvorak
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Dvorak
Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
0
2
Dvorak
Nazar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
0
Dvorak
Nazar
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Nazar
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
45.2% (314)
+11.2%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
39.5% (38)
+29.5%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
44.8% (29)
+5.8%
On power play, Dvorak has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Dvorak is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Dvorak shoots left. Nazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Nazar
Home
55.1% (501)
43.4% (196)
Away
56.4% (559)
45.9% (185)
By Period
Dvorak
Nazar
P1
55.8%
47.3%
P2
52.5%
40.3%
P3
58.2%
46.7%
OT
63.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
44.6%