Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Dvorak wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Drury shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Drury 54.6% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 69.3%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 73.4%
Neutral zone
Drury 52.5%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Dvorak
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Dvorak
Drury
Last 9: Dvorak 4-5 Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Drury
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Drury
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
2
4
Dvorak
Drury
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
54.7% (590)
+2.3%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
54.7% (53)
+28.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
71.4% (21)
-21.4%
On power play, Dvorak has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Dvorak is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Dvorak shoots left. Drury is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Drury
Home
58.3% (151)
56.7% (358)
Away
57.4% (190)
53.6% (306)
By Period
Dvorak
Drury
P1
56.7%
57.3%
P2
56.7%
57.6%
P3
59.6%
51.1%
Final 5 min
61.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
57.8%
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:51 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:25 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 18:13 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |