Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — McCann shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs McCann 46.2% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 53.6%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 82.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 69.0%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Dvorak
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Dvorak
McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
0
1
Dvorak
McCann
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
McCann
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
McCann
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
48.4% (188)
+8.0%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
33.3% (15)
+35.7%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
31.7% (41)
+18.9%
On power play, Dvorak has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. McCann is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Dvorak
McCann
Home
55.1% (501)
52.8% (125)
Away
56.4% (559)
36.1% (119)
By Period
Dvorak
McCann
P1
55.8%
37.7%
P2
52.5%
50.5%
P3
58.2%
45.2%
OT
63.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 11:21 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 13:13 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |