Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Beagle 56.7% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 90.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 78.1%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 73.9%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Dvorak
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
14
(19 meetings)
5
14
Dvorak
Beagle
Last 10: Dvorak 4-6 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Dvorak
Beagle
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
8
Dvorak
Beagle
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
3
Dvorak
Beagle
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (6,743)
57.5% (4,994)
-4.5%
Power Play
55.7% (1,005)
60.5% (119)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (887)
54.2% (1,554)
-3.2%
On power play, Beagle has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Dvorak is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,076).
Dvorak shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Beagle
Home
54.7% (4,115)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
51.7% (4,520)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
Dvorak
Beagle
P1
54.5%
57.4%
P2
51.8%
57.1%
P3
53.0%
56.2%
OT
56.9%
41.3%
Final 5 min
51.5%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.1%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 19:40 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 15:01 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 15:10 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 1 | 12:30 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3 | 10:48 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3 | 07:07 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 12:58 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 15:04 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |