Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Thornton 46.2% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 51.4%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 80.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 75.2%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Dvorak
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dvorak
Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Thornton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
43.5% (161)
+12.2%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
50.0% (14)
+11.1%
On even strength, Dvorak has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Dvorak is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (553).
Dvorak shoots left. Thornton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Thornton
Home
59.0% (432)
41.5% (106)
Away
54.8% (535)
47.8% (69)
By Period
Dvorak
Thornton
P1
58.7%
50.8%
P2
53.9%
41.0%
P3
57.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
56.7%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |