Christian Dvorak vs Justin Dowling
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Dowling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Dowling 48.7% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowling 74.4%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 65.4%
Neutral zone
Dowling 56.0%
Result
Justin Dowling favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Dvorak
Dowling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dvorak
Dowling
Last 5: Dvorak 2-3 Dowling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Dowling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowling
0
1
Dvorak
Dowling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowling
0
2
Dvorak
Dowling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Dowling
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
48.7% (318)
+7.7%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
20.0% (5)
+49.0%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
50.0% (4)
+0.6%
On power play, Dvorak has a +49.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowling shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. Dowling is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Dowling
Home
55.1% (501)
49.0% (145)
Away
56.4% (559)
47.8% (182)
By Period
Dvorak
Dowling
P1
55.8%
48.1%
P2
52.5%
49.1%
P3
58.2%
47.8%
Final 5 min
54.9%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | Justin Dowling |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 17:05 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:06 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |