Christian Dvorak vs Kevin Stenlund
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Stenlund 58.3% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 51.7%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 61.4%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 60.2%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Dvorak
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dvorak
Stenlund
Last 5: Dvorak 3-2 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Stenlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
2
Dvorak
Stenlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
58.6% (797)
-2.2%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
62.5% (24)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
60.5% (233)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Dvorak is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Dvorak shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Stenlund
Home
55.1% (501)
58.6% (548)
Away
56.4% (559)
59.7% (506)
By Period
Dvorak
Stenlund
P1
55.8%
60.2%
P2
52.5%
59.1%
P3
58.2%
58.3%
OT
63.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
54.9%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:52 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 10:47 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 10:40 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 26, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |