Christian Dvorak vs Mason McTavish
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs McTavish 50.6% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 82.4%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 56.2%
Neutral zone
McTavish 60.5%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Dvorak
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dvorak
McTavish
Last 6: Dvorak 2-4 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Dvorak
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
McTavish
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
2
Dvorak
McTavish
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
51.1% (769)
+5.3%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
50.6% (178)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
28.6% (14)
+22.0%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Home / Away
Dvorak
McTavish
Home
55.1% (501)
52.3% (461)
Away
56.4% (559)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Dvorak
McTavish
P1
55.8%
51.5%
P2
52.5%
54.0%
P3
58.2%
47.1%
OT
63.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 3 | 10:32 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |