Christian Dvorak vs Mathew Barzal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 52.9% vs Barzal 41.4% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 67.6%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 75.9%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 71.2%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Dvorak
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Dvorak
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (762)
40.4% (463)
+13.3%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
34.2% (38)
+19.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
28.6% (7)
+19.0%
On power play, Dvorak has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Dvorak is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Dvorak shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Barzal
Home
53.6% (461)
38.1% (244)
Away
52.9% (507)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Dvorak
Barzal
P1
54.1%
46.6%
P2
52.9%
35.7%
P3
53.8%
37.7%
OT
36.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:39 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |