Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Domi 50.2% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 77.7%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 73.4%
Neutral zone
Domi 55.3%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Dvorak
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Dvorak
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
2
Dvorak
Domi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
2
Dvorak
Domi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Domi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
49.7% (499)
+6.7%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
56.8% (44)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
0.0% (1)
+50.6%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +50.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. Domi is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Domi
Home
55.1% (501)
51.0% (298)
Away
56.4% (559)
49.2% (246)
By Period
Dvorak
Domi
P1
55.8%
54.8%
P2
52.5%
48.9%
P3
58.2%
46.4%
Final 5 min
54.9%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 17:36 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |