Christian Dvorak vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 52.9% vs Backlund 49.7% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 78.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 74.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.0%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Dvorak
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Dvorak
Backlund
Last 10: Dvorak 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
5
1
Dvorak
Backlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Dvorak
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Dvorak
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (762)
50.1% (891)
+3.6%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
53.1% (64)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
47.8% (278)
-0.2%
On even strength, Dvorak has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Dvorak is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Dvorak shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Backlund
Home
53.6% (461)
48.1% (580)
Away
52.9% (507)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Dvorak
Backlund
P1
54.1%
45.1%
P2
52.9%
54.7%
P3
53.8%
49.0%
OT
36.4%
46.2%
Final 5 min
46.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 09:57 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |