Christian Dvorak vs Mikael Backlund
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Backlund 50.3% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 53.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 63.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Dvorak
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Dvorak
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Dvorak
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
51.0% (1,205)
+6.0%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
59.3% (108)
+24.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
42.3% (234)
+7.7%
On power play, Dvorak has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Dvorak is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Dvorak shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Backlund
Home
58.3% (151)
51.2% (782)
Away
57.4% (190)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Dvorak
Backlund
P1
56.7%
51.5%
P2
56.7%
49.8%
P3
59.6%
49.9%
OT
60.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
61.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
57.8%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:36 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 13:38 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |