Christian Dvorak vs Morgan Geekie
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Geekie 47.3% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 64.4%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 88.2%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 77.4%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Dvorak
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Dvorak
Geekie
Last 8: Dvorak 5-3 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
3
Dvorak
Geekie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Geekie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
45.7% (352)
+10.7%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
63.2% (19)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
33.3% (3)
+17.3%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Dvorak is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Dvorak shoots left. Geekie is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Geekie
Home
55.1% (501)
48.5% (165)
Away
56.4% (559)
45.0% (209)
By Period
Dvorak
Geekie
P1
55.8%
48.5%
P2
52.5%
45.1%
P3
58.2%
45.8%
Final 5 min
54.9%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 07:10 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:33 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 06:03 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 17:46 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 01:52 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |