Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 52.9% vs Kadri 47.6% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 71.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 60.9%
Neutral zone
Kadri 52.5%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Dvorak
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dvorak
Kadri
Last 5: Dvorak 2-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dvorak
Kadri
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Dvorak
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (762)
47.4% (821)
+6.3%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
48.8% (86)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
38.5% (13)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Dvorak is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Dvorak shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Kadri
Home
53.6% (461)
46.6% (487)
Away
52.9% (507)
48.3% (433)
By Period
Dvorak
Kadri
P1
54.1%
52.7%
P2
52.9%
50.2%
P3
53.8%
40.2%
OT
36.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 10:16 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:44 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |