Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Kadri 49.7% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 56.8%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 75.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 58.9%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Dvorak
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Dvorak
Kadri
Last 7: Dvorak 4-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Kadri
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Dvorak
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
50.2% (849)
+5.5%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
50.6% (235)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
43.0% (93)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Dvorak is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (553).
Dvorak shoots left. Kadri is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Kadri
Home
59.0% (432)
48.5% (557)
Away
54.8% (535)
50.8% (620)
By Period
Dvorak
Kadri
P1
58.7%
49.5%
P2
53.9%
51.3%
P3
57.2%
47.8%
OT
70.6%
63.2%
Final 5 min
54.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 04:07 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 19:21 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 17:28 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |