Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 54.6% vs Kadri 55.9% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 57.0%
Defensive zone
Kadri 58.5%
Neutral zone
Kadri 50.6%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Dvorak
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dvorak
Kadri
Last 5: Dvorak 4-1 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Kadri
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (722)
55.0% (533)
-1.0%
Power Play
58.8% (187)
63.0% (162)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
54.5% (22)
+3.0%
On power play, Kadri has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Dvorak is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Dvorak shoots left. Kadri is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (435).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Kadri
Home
58.6% (444)
62.2% (349)
Away
52.1% (505)
51.6% (368)
By Period
Dvorak
Kadri
P1
54.5%
57.3%
P2
53.6%
56.5%
P3
57.1%
56.9%
OT
56.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.1%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 02:45 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 12, 2019 | OT | 00:56 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 12:31 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 03:24 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |