Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.3% vs Bonino 53.9% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 54.2%
Defensive zone
Bonino 80.5%
Neutral zone
Bonino 64.1%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Dvorak
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Dvorak
Bonino
Last 10: Dvorak 7-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
0
Dvorak
Bonino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Dvorak
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
1
Dvorak
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (943)
56.4% (771)
-5.2%
Power Play
51.6% (122)
60.0% (30)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (74)
43.8% (169)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Dvorak is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Dvorak shoots left. Bonino is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Bonino
Home
53.9% (523)
56.5% (531)
Away
49.2% (616)
51.7% (439)
By Period
Dvorak
Bonino
P1
56.7%
56.7%
P2
50.0%
48.1%
P3
46.7%
58.0%
OT
83.3%
52.6%
Final 5 min
46.2%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 12:39 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 06:20 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 06:22 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |