Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Dvorak wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Bonino 51.2% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 78.7%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 57.9%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 68.2%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Dvorak
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Dvorak
Bonino
Last 10: Dvorak 7-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
2
Dvorak
Bonino
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
5
Dvorak
Bonino
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
6
0
Dvorak
Bonino
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
51.7% (777)
+4.0%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
60.0% (50)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
43.9% (98)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Dvorak is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (553).
Dvorak shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Bonino
Home
59.0% (432)
48.2% (461)
Away
54.8% (535)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Dvorak
Bonino
P1
58.7%
54.1%
P2
53.9%
49.7%
P3
57.2%
50.7%
OT
70.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 04:58 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:48 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 15:24 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 09:21 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 18:50 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 00:06 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 12:11 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 00:15 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |