Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 52.8%). Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.9% vs Bonino 52.5% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 19-13 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 52.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 60.3%
Neutral zone
Bonino 50.4%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Dvorak
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
13
(32 meetings)
19
13
Dvorak
Bonino
Last 10: Dvorak 6-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
14
5
Dvorak
Bonino
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
5
6
Dvorak
Bonino
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Dvorak
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (714)
54.9% (395)
-2.8%
Power Play
56.7% (157)
60.9% (110)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (191)
43.5% (186)
+4.7%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Dvorak is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (835).
Dvorak shoots left. Bonino is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (469).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Bonino
Home
55.0% (516)
52.3% (363)
Away
49.3% (546)
53.4% (328)
By Period
Dvorak
Bonino
P1
54.9%
52.0%
P2
51.1%
56.1%
P3
51.0%
51.5%
OT
42.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 08:11 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 13:57 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 01:21 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |