Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 47.1% vs Zacha 42.0% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 67.9%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 84.8%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 77.6%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Dvorak
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Dvorak
Zacha
Last 9: Dvorak 7-2 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Dvorak
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (851)
40.9% (399)
+6.0%
Power Play
48.7% (113)
39.5% (43)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (42)
26.7% (15)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Dvorak is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Dvorak shoots left. Zacha is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Zacha
Home
47.5% (526)
41.4% (261)
Away
46.0% (480)
38.8% (196)
By Period
Dvorak
Zacha
P1
48.0%
38.6%
P2
46.3%
44.4%
P3
46.2%
36.9%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.9%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
46.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 05:47 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 02:17 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 01:40 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |