Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 52.9% vs Zacha 51.7% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 62.5%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 51.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 55.8%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Dvorak
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dvorak
Zacha
Last 5: Dvorak 4-1 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
1
Dvorak
Zacha
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (762)
53.3% (646)
+0.4%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
53.0% (100)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
38.9% (72)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Dvorak is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Dvorak shoots left. Zacha is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Zacha
Home
53.6% (461)
51.7% (410)
Away
52.9% (507)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Dvorak
Zacha
P1
54.1%
57.7%
P2
52.9%
48.9%
P3
53.8%
50.2%
OT
36.4%
35.7%
Final 5 min
46.3%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 14:47 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |