Christian Dvorak vs Pontus Holmberg
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Holmberg on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Holmberg 49.1% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holmberg 62.1%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 66.8%
Neutral zone
Holmberg 54.0%
Result
Pontus Holmberg favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Dvorak
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Dvorak
Holmberg
Last 6: Dvorak 3-3 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Holmberg
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
0
1
Dvorak
Holmberg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holmberg
1
2
Dvorak
Holmberg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
49.0% (245)
+7.4%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
33.3% (3)
+35.7%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
48.6% (37)
+2.0%
On power play, Dvorak has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. Holmberg is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Holmberg
Home
55.1% (501)
50.3% (147)
Away
56.4% (559)
47.1% (138)
By Period
Dvorak
Holmberg
P1
55.8%
59.2%
P2
52.5%
40.0%
P3
58.2%
46.9%
OT
63.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 05:08 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 05:25 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:55 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |