Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Hartman 45.3% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 55.7%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 86.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 76.9%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Dvorak
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dvorak
Hartman
Last 5: Dvorak 4-1 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
44.8% (936)
+10.9%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
49.4% (154)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
33.3% (54)
+24.1%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Dvorak is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Dvorak shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Hartman
Home
59.0% (432)
47.4% (568)
Away
54.8% (535)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Dvorak
Hartman
P1
58.7%
47.2%
P2
53.9%
43.4%
P3
57.2%
43.8%
OT
70.6%
53.8%
Final 5 min
54.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |