Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.3% vs Strome 45.0% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 69.4%
Defensive zone
Strome 74.0%
Neutral zone
Strome 73.7%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 72.8%
27.2%
72.8%
Dvorak
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Dvorak
Strome
Last 8: Dvorak 2-6 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Dvorak
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Dvorak
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Dvorak
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (943)
44.4% (568)
+6.8%
Power Play
51.6% (122)
52.5% (61)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (74)
31.0% (42)
+21.7%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Dvorak is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (418).
Dvorak shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Strome
Home
53.9% (523)
42.8% (367)
Away
49.2% (616)
46.1% (304)
By Period
Dvorak
Strome
P1
56.7%
41.1%
P2
50.0%
44.9%
P3
46.7%
46.6%
OT
83.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 06:46 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 06:33 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |