Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Strome 42.3% (+14.1%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 53.7%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 87.6%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 75.8%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Dvorak
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Dvorak
Strome
Last 10: Dvorak 6-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
3
Dvorak
Strome
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
1
Dvorak
Strome
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
1
Dvorak
Strome
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
41.2% (1,040)
+15.2%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
43.0% (151)
+26.0%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
51.4% (35)
-0.8%
On power play, Dvorak has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Dvorak is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Dvorak shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Strome
Home
55.1% (501)
40.1% (581)
Away
56.4% (559)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Dvorak
Strome
P1
55.8%
41.4%
P2
52.5%
42.9%
P3
58.2%
40.5%
OT
63.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
54.9%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 02:29 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2024 | OT | 04:12 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 9, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:28 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |