Christian Dvorak vs Steven Stamkos
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 87.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 80.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 59.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Dvorak
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Dvorak
Stamkos
Last 10: Dvorak 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
6
Dvorak
Stamkos
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
6
0
Dvorak
Stamkos
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Dvorak
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
49.3% (670)
+7.1%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
53.7% (121)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
33.3% (3)
+17.3%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Dvorak is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Dvorak shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Stamkos
Home
55.1% (501)
54.0% (400)
Away
56.4% (559)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Dvorak
Stamkos
P1
55.8%
48.6%
P2
52.5%
54.5%
P3
58.2%
45.4%
OT
63.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:34 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |