Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dvorak wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Oshie 45.4% (+14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 63.4%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 94.2%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 75.6%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Dvorak
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dvorak
Oshie
Last 6: Dvorak 4-2 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
2
Dvorak
Oshie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
0
Dvorak
Oshie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
57.7% (26)
-2.0%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
41.3% (138)
+19.8%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
0.0% (5)
+57.4%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +57.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Dvorak is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Dvorak shoots left. Oshie is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Oshie
Home
59.0% (432)
41.0% (78)
Away
54.8% (535)
44.0% (91)
By Period
Dvorak
Oshie
P1
58.7%
42.6%
P2
53.9%
41.9%
P3
57.2%
41.8%
OT
70.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |