Christian Dvorak vs William Karlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 75.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 71.6%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 50.3%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Dvorak
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Dvorak
Karlsson
Last 6: Dvorak 3-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Dvorak
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Dvorak
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
58.6% (597)
-2.2%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
57.9% (57)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
51.9% (52)
-1.3%
On power play, Dvorak has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Karlsson
Home
55.1% (501)
59.6% (344)
Away
56.4% (559)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Dvorak
Karlsson
P1
55.8%
53.1%
P2
52.5%
62.1%
P3
58.2%
60.1%
OT
63.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 17:06 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | William Karlsson |