Scouting Report
Christoffer Ehn holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ehn wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ehn 48.4% vs Nash 46.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 56.0%
Defensive zone
Nash 59.0%
Neutral zone
Nash 60.2%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Ehn
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Ehn
Nash
Last 5: Ehn 1-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Ehn
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
2
Ehn
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ehn
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (166)
46.1% (306)
+2.1%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
16.7% (6)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
38.1% (21)
+6.3%
On power play, Nash has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Ehn is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Ehn shoots left. Nash is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Ehn
Nash
Home
45.9% (85)
46.5% (157)
Away
48.9% (92)
43.8% (176)
By Period
Ehn
Nash
P1
48.2%
47.7%
P2
46.4%
39.8%
P3
47.7%
47.2%
Final 5 min
46.2%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ehn
44.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 09:22 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 09:51 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 02:33 | Neutral | Christoffer Ehn |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 02:05 | Neutral | Riley Nash |