Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ehn wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ehn 45.7% vs Nash 48.5% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ehn 63.4%
Defensive zone
Ehn 61.8%
Neutral zone
Ehn 62.7%
Result
Christoffer Ehn favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Ehn
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Ehn
Nash
Last 5: Ehn 1-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Ehn
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
2
Ehn
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ehn
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (377)
48.7% (4,621)
-3.6%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
51.0% (249)
-36.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
44.9% (550)
+2.5%
On power play, Nash has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Ehn is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Ehn shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Ehn
Nash
Home
43.5% (207)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
45.9% (196)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Ehn
Nash
P1
43.1%
49.0%
P2
48.3%
47.9%
P3
42.1%
48.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ehn
44.0%▲
41.5%
44.7%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 09:22 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 09:51 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 02:33 | Neutral | Christoffer Ehn |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 02:05 | Neutral | Riley Nash |