Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lizotte wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Giroux 60.4% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 76.9%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 60.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 55.4%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Lizotte
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lizotte
Giroux
Last 6: Lizotte 3-3 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
2
Lizotte
Giroux
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
1
Lizotte
Giroux
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
59.6% (606)
-6.1%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
69.3% (150)
-69.3%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
61.4% (220)
-22.8%
On power play, Giroux has a +69.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Lizotte is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Lizotte shoots left. Giroux is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (756).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Giroux
Home
52.0% (198)
65.7% (461)
Away
49.7% (149)
57.7% (515)
By Period
Lizotte
Giroux
P1
50.0%
60.7%
P2
50.9%
63.7%
P3
52.2%
60.2%
OT
0.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
60.9%
63.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
61.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:35 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:42 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |